Indian Creek
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #34
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #15
Franklin Community Regional Rank #3
Franklin Community Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 12th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Indian Creek Invitational Franklin Invitational Eagle Classic Western Indiana Conference Golden Bear Invitational Johnson County Franklin Community Sectional Franklin Community Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/10 9/20 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 412 423 436 414 96 419 453 456 471 435
Team Adjusted Rating 423 436 414 96 419 453 456 471 435
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Indian Creek Invitational Franklin Invitational Eagle Classic Western Indiana Conference Golden Bear Invitational Johnson County Franklin Community Sectional Franklin Community Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
16  Libby Dowty 9 18:30 18:13 18:30 18:35 18:21 18:47 18:54 18:57 18:40 18:32 18:28
29  Abby Fleetwood 12 18:56 19:21 18:57 18:45 18:45 18:29 18:53 19:02 19:13 19:39 19:06
200  Phoebe Dowty 11 20:21 21:38 19:48 19:37 20:19 20:00 20:05 20:23 20:53 21:08 21:02
593  Paige Iaria 12 21:42 21:23 21:43 22:32 21:44 21:36 21:45 21:57 21:40 21:29 21:33
605  Hannah Seitzinger 11 21:43 22:02 22:30 21:58 22:09 22:33 21:56 22:08 21:41 21:42 21:32
732  Alivia White 10 22:04 22:19 22:26 21:49 22:19 21:53 21:56 21:54 22:49 21:54




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.8% 14.6 376 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 11.1 290 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 4.8 8.8 16.3 23.5 24.1 13.6 4.8 1.0 0.2
Regionals 100% 3.3 85 0.4 10.4 49.1 34.1 6.0
Sectionals 100% 1.9 56 28.1 49.9 22.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Libby Dowty 99.8% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.0 2.9 4.1 5.3 6.4 6.9 7.4 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.0 5.4 5.0 4.2 3.6 3.4 2.6 2.3 2.0 99.8% 99.8%
Abby Fleetwood 86.4% 27.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.9 86.3% 86.4%
Phoebe Dowty 0.8% 111.8 0.0% 0.0%
Paige Iaria 0.8% 184.2 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Seitzinger 0.8% 184.9 0.0% 0.0%
Alivia White 0.8% 193.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Libby Dowty 100% 6.0 0.2 3.2 9.4 17.2 20.0 18.1 11.7 7.2 5.0 2.9 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Abby Fleetwood 100% 11.6 0.2 0.6 1.8 4.6 7.9 9.6 10.6 9.5 9.2 8.2 6.6 5.5 5.2 4.2 3.2 2.5 2.5 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.7 100.0%
Phoebe Dowty 100% 70.8 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Paige Iaria 100% 137.9 86.8%
Hannah Seitzinger 100% 139.6 85.7%
Alivia White 100% 156.8 47.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Libby Dowty 100% 1.0 88.7 9.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Abby Fleetwood 100% 1.9 2.8 52.1 33.6 8.7 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Phoebe Dowty 100% 12.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 2.9 6.0 8.6 10.3 9.4 9.3 7.7 7.8 6.5 5.3 5.0 4.2 3.9 3.0 2.7 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.7 100.0%
Paige Iaria 100% 35.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 100.0%
Hannah Seitzinger 100% 35.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Alivia White 100% 41.8 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Libby Dowty 1.0 95.8 4.1 0.1 0.0
Abby Fleetwood 1.6 3.5 82.6 11.4 2.1 0.4
Phoebe Dowty 6.9 0.1 0.4 3.2 30.1 19.1 13.9 10.4 7.5 5.4 4.1 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Paige Iaria 21.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.2 4.5 6.7 9.4 12.1 12.9 12.1 9.7 8.8
Hannah Seitzinger 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.6 3.7 5.9 8.8 11.0 12.5 12.6 10.6 9.5
Alivia White 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.8 2.8 5.2 7.0 8.7